Posadas: PP would win a majority
Posadas (Córdoba, 7,267 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 45%PP majority
- 3,898valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 44.0%)
Majority 45%
PSOE-A±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 46.5%)
Majority 37%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.0% → 46.7% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 46.5% → 45.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 8.3% → 6.2% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,898 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.