Malagón: PP would win a majority
Malagón (Ciudad Real, 7,801 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 57%PP majority
- 4,669valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 47.9%)
Majority 57%
SM±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 28.1%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 21.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.9% → 46.7% 6 → 7 councillors
- SMLocal lists 28.1% → 28.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.6% → 18.3% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 1.3% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,669 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.