Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Corral de Calatrava: PSOE would keep its majority

Corral de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 1,089 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.9% of the vote (2023: 53.5%) Majority 68%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.0% of the vote (2023: 44.4%) Majority 32%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Corral de Calatrava

Corral de Calatrava is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 1,089 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 53.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 82.4% of the 930 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.5% → 51.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 44.4% → 46.0% 4 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 766 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Corral de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real

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