El Robledo: A.R.E.I. would keep its majority
El Robledo (Ciudad Real, 1,061 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 96%A.R.E.I. majority
- 685valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
A.R.E.I.±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 58.6% of the vote (2023: 55.3%)
Majority 96%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 43.1%)
Majority 4%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- A.R.E.I.Local lists 55.3% → 58.6% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 43.1% → 39.8% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 685 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.