El Robledo: A.R.E.I. would keep its majority
El Robledo (Ciudad Real, 1,061 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 96%A.R.E.I. majority
- 685valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Robledo
El Robledo is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 1,061 inhabitants, the 52nd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 A.R.E.I. came first with 55.3% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 77.8% of the 880 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps A.R.E.I. on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- A.R.E.I.Local lists 55.3% → 58.6% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 43.1% → 39.8% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 685 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.