Argamasilla de Calatrava: PSOE would keep its majority
Argamasilla de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 5,849 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 53%PSOE majority
- 3,171valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Argamasilla de Calatrava
Argamasilla de Calatrava is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 5,849 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 50% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 67.5% of the 4,701 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 53% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 50.0% → 46.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 21.5% → 21.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.5% → 17.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 16.2% → 13.1% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,171 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Argamasilla de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real
- Almodóvar del Campo5,873 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Membrilla5,904 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Moral de Calatrava5,178 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Almadén5,069 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Argamasilla de Alba6,846 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Villanueva de los Infantes4,828 inhabitants · 11 councillors