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Argamasilla de Alba: PP would keep its majority

Argamasilla de Alba (Ciudad Real, 6,846 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 54.3% of the vote (2023: 50.8%) Majority 85%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority under 1%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Argamasilla de Alba

Argamasilla de Alba is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 6,846 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 50.8% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 71.2% of the 5,016 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 85% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.8% → 54.3% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.3% → 32.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 15.0% → 12.7% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,569 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Argamasilla de Alba in size, in Ciudad Real

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