Arenas de San Juan: PSOE would keep its majority
Arenas de San Juan (Ciudad Real, 1,031 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 650valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arenas de San Juan
Arenas de San Juan is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 1,031 inhabitants, the 53rd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 67.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 82.7% of the 786 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 67.7% → 62.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 20.0% → 18.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 11.5% → 18.3% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 650 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.