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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Ciudad Real

Alcázar de San Juan: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Alcázar de San Juan (Ciudad Real, 30,516 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 42.0%) Majority 10%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 23.5%) Majority 0%
VQ-IU−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Alcázar de San Juan

Alcázar de San Juan is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 30,516 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42% of the vote and 10 seats; PP was second with 5. 67.3% of the 23,670 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 42.0% → 37.9% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 15.1% → 23.1% 3 → 5 councillors
  3. PPPP 23.5% → 22.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. VQ-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 12.8% → 9.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. POR ALCAZARLocal lists 2.6% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. LJALocal lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,926 valid votes including 293 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcázar de San Juan in size, in Ciudad Real

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