Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vinaròs: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Vinaròs (Castellón/Castelló, 29,120 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 32.5% of the vote (2023: 35.5%) Majority 3%
PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 29.6%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
P.V.I±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.8% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vinaròs

Vinaròs is a municipality in the province of Castellón/Castelló with 29,120 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 135 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 35.5% of the vote and 9 seats; PP was second with 7. 60.9% of the 20,183 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 35.5% → 32.5% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.6% → 29.5% 7 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. P.V.ILocal lists 9.9% → 10.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 6.1% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. EXV-AMERC 2.1% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEM-EUPV:UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VXVNRSLocal lists 2.1% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. UCINLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,294 valid votes including 224 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vinaròs in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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