Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vila-real: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Vila-real (Castellón/Castelló, 51,369 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 36.4% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 7%
PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 29.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 11.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vila-real

Vila-real is a municipality in the province of Castellón/Castelló with 51,369 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 135 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 39.2% of the vote and 11 seats; PP was second with 8. 64.5% of the 37,022 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 10 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 39.2% → 36.4% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.7% → 29.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.1% → 18.5% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 11.6% → 8.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 3.2% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEM - EUPV: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PNLocal lists 0.5% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 23,866 valid votes including 309 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vila-real in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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