Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Oropesa del Mar/Orpesa: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Oropesa del Mar/Orpesa (Castellón/Castelló, 10,184 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 35.2% of the vote (2023: 39.1%) Majority 5%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 30.9%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Oropesa del Mar/Orpesa

Oropesa del Mar/Orpesa is a municipality in the province of Castellón/Castelló with 10,184 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 135 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 39.1% of the vote and 7 seats; PP was second with 6. 63.2% of the 6,432 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 39.1% → 35.2% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.9% → 30.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.8% → 17.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 7.7% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 7.6% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. UCINLocal lists 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,062 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Oropesa del Mar/Orpesa in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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