Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Moncofa: PP would keep its majority

Moncofa (Castellón/Castelló, 7,338 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 46.4%) Majority 60%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 40% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.4% → 47.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.7% → 21.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.2% → 13.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 16.2% → 13.3% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEM-EUPV:UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,790 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Moncofa in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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