Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Nules: no list would have a majority, CEN largest

Nules (Castellón/Castelló, 13,449 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CEN±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 37.3%) Majority 3%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 23.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 20.8%) Majority 0%
MN-EUPV:ENDAVANT−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.2% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Nules

Nules is a municipality in the province of Castellón/Castelló with 13,449 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 135 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CEN came first with 37.3% of the vote and 7 seats; PP was second with 4. 73.2% of the 9,845 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CEN would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CENLocal lists 37.3% → 37.9% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.4% → 22.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.8% → 18.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 20.8% → 17.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. MN-EUPV:ENDAVANTSumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,211 valid votes including 76 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Nules in size, in Castellón/Castelló

Every municipality in Castellón/Castelló → · All of Spain →