Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valderredible: P.R.C. would keep its majority

Valderredible (Cantabria, 945 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 68.9% of the vote (2023: 65.2%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 11.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 65.2% → 68.9% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 22.3% → 19.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 11.5% → 10.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 678 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valderredible in size, in Cantabria

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