Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Soba: P.R.C. would keep its majority

Soba (Cantabria, 1,131 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 65.7% of the vote (2023: 62.7%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 24.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 62.7% → 65.7% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.0% → 23.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. ASOBALocal lists 5.3% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 7.4% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 799 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Soba in size, in Cantabria

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