Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Selaya: PP would keep its majority

Selaya (Cantabria, 1,849 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 62.9% of the vote (2023: 61.9%) Majority 99%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 25.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 61.9% → 62.9% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 25.2% → 26.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 11.4% → 8.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,277 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Selaya in size, in Cantabria

Every municipality in Cantabria → · All of Spain →