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Arenas de Iguña: P.R.C. would keep its majority

Arenas de Iguña (Cantabria, 1,734 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 57.2% of the vote (2023: 54.1%) Majority 95%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.8% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 54.1% → 57.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.2% → 29.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 14.4% → 11.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,203 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arenas de Iguña in size, in Cantabria

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