Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Hazas de Cesto: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Hazas de Cesto (Cantabria, 1,697 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 39.0%) Majority 16%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.8% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 22.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.0% → 39.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.5% → 27.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. P.R.C.Local lists 22.8% → 24.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 7.3% → 7.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,142 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Hazas de Cesto in size, in Cantabria

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