España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Santiurde de Toranzo: PP would keep its majority

Santiurde de Toranzo (Cantabria, 1,711 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 72.6% of the vote (2023: 71.4%) Majority over 99%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 20.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Santiurde de Toranzo

Santiurde de Toranzo is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 1,711 inhabitants, the 53rd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 71.4% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; P.R.C. was second with 2. 84.3% of the 1,477 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 71.4% → 72.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 20.1% → 21.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 7.2% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,245 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santiurde de Toranzo in size, in Cantabria

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