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Reocín: P.R.C. would keep its majority

Reocín (Cantabria, 8,455 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 52.4% of the vote (2023: 52.1%) Majority 96%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.8% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Reocín

Reocín is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 8,455 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 P.R.C. came first with 52.1% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 72.3% of the 6,827 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps P.R.C. on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 52.1% → 52.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 12.2% → 18.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 17.6% → 14.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 12.4% → 11.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. OLA CANTABRIALocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,934 valid votes including 89 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Reocín in size, in Cantabria

Every municipality in Cantabria → · All of Spain →