Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pesaguero: PP would keep its majority

Pesaguero (Cantabria, 287 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 60.9% of the vote (2023: 60.2%) Majority over 99%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 29.2%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pesaguero

Pesaguero is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 287 inhabitants, the 92nd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 60.2% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; P.R.C. was second with 2. 86.4% of the 250 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 60.2% → 60.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 29.2% → 31.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 8.8% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 216 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pesaguero in size, in Cantabria

Every municipality in Cantabria → · All of Spain →