España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Peñarrubia: PSOE would keep its majority

Peñarrubia (Cantabria, 317 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 59.3% of the vote (2023: 66.1%) Majority over 99%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 66.1% → 59.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.6% → 25.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.6% → 9.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. P.R.C.Local lists 4.9% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 245 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Peñarrubia in size, in Cantabria

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