Penagos: UPP would keep its majority
Penagos (Cantabria, 2,207 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%UPP majority
- 1,410valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Penagos
Penagos is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 2,207 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UPP came first with 59.3% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 77.2% of the 1,826 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps UPP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPPLocal lists 59.3% → 62.1% 7 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 22.9% → 22.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- P.R.C.Local lists 10.1% → 10.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 6.2% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,410 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.