Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bareyo: no list would have a majority, P.R.C. largest

Bareyo (Cantabria, 2,149 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 34%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 2%
OLA CANTABRIA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 64% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 42.2% → 44.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.3% → 35.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. OLA CANTABRIALocal lists 16.2% → 17.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 4.3% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,385 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bareyo in size, in Cantabria

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