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Mazcuerras: PP would keep its majority

Mazcuerras (Cantabria, 2,095 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 65.8% of the vote (2023: 64.4%) Majority over 99%
P.R.C.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 15.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 64.4% → 65.8% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 15.7% → 16.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 17.1% → 14.6% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,359 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mazcuerras in size, in Cantabria

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