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Bareyo: no list would have a majority, P.R.C. largest

Bareyo (Cantabria, 2,149 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 34%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 2%
OLA CANTABRIA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 64% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bareyo

Bareyo is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 2,149 inhabitants, the 45th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 P.R.C. came first with 42.2% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 4. 80.1% of the 1,729 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: P.R.C. would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 42.2% → 44.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.3% → 35.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. OLA CANTABRIALocal lists 16.2% → 17.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 4.3% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,385 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bareyo in size, in Cantabria

Every municipality in Cantabria → · All of Spain →