Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Miengo: PP would keep its majority

Miengo (Cantabria, 5,123 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 47.2%) Majority 76%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 14.0%) Majority 0%
EQUO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.2% → 47.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 13.5% → 14.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.2% → 13.2% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 14.0% → 11.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. EQUOSumar, Podemos and allies 12.7% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,829 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Miengo in size, in Cantabria

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