Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Entrambasaguas: PP would keep its majority

Entrambasaguas (Cantabria, 5,418 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 47.4%) Majority 74%
UPE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 3.6%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.7% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.4% → 46.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. UPELocal lists 28.6% → 29.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.6% → 8.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. P.R.C.Local lists 6.1% → 6.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.1% → 3.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 5.0% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. OLA CANTABRIALocal lists 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,141 valid votes including 30 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Entrambasaguas in size, in Cantabria

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