Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Polanco: P.R.C. would keep its majority

Polanco (Cantabria, 6,126 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 48.7% of the vote (2023: 48.6%) Majority 73%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 21.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 20.3%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 48.6% → 48.7% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 21.5% → 19.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 20.3% → 16.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.6% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,440 valid votes including 66 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Polanco in size, in Cantabria

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