Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cartes: PSOE would keep its majority

Cartes (Cantabria, 5,781 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 72.6% of the vote (2023: 73.5%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 73.5% → 72.6% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 14.8% → 14.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. P.R.C.Local lists 9.6% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,256 valid votes including 67 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cartes in size, in Cantabria

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