España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Los Corrales de Buelna: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Los Corrales de Buelna (Cantabria, 10,742 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 31.7% of the vote (2023: 32.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 26.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 16.5%) Majority 0%
I.U.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 32.9% → 31.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.7% → 23.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.5% → 19.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. P.R.C.Local lists 16.5% → 16.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 6.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,943 valid votes including 105 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Corrales de Buelna in size, in Cantabria

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