Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Puerto Serrano: IU ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority

Puerto Serrano (Cádiz, 6,971 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU ANDALUCÍA±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 71.8% of the vote (2023: 71.3%) Majority over 99%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 20.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 71.3% → 71.8% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 20.6% → 20.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 7.2% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,071 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Puerto Serrano in size, in Cádiz

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