Puerto Real: no list would have a majority, PARA LA GENTE largest
Puerto Real (Cádiz, 41,963 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 18,454valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PARA LA GENTE−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 33.4%)
Majority under 1%
UA±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 16.0%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 19.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 6.0%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 10.7%)
Majority 0%
ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 33.4% → 29.9% 8 → 7 councillors
- UALocal lists 16.0% → 17.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.4% → 17.2% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 6.0% → 11.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 10.7% → 10.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 7.3% → 8.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCPALocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,454 valid votes including 374 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Puerto Real in size, in Cádiz
- San Roque33,018 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Arcos de la Frontera30,953 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Rota29,491 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- La Línea de la Concepción63,271 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Sanlúcar de Barrameda69,727 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Los Barrios24,069 inhabitants · 21 councillors