España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Puerto Real: no list would have a majority, PARA LA GENTE largest

Puerto Real (Cádiz, 41,963 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PARA LA GENTE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 33.4%) Majority under 1%
UA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 10.7%) Majority 0%
ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 33.4% → 29.9% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. UALocal lists 16.0% → 17.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 19.4% → 17.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.0% → 11.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 10.7% → 10.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 7.3% → 8.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PCPALocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,454 valid votes including 374 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Puerto Real in size, in Cádiz

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