El Bosque: PP would keep its majority
El Bosque (Cádiz, 2,209 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 67%PP majority
- 1,151valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Bosque
El Bosque is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 2,209 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 47.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 64.5% of the 1,785 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 67% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.7% → 47.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 32.8% → 29.7% 4 → 3 councillors
- UALocal lists 14.9% → 15.7% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,151 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Bosque in size, in Cádiz
- Grazalema2,005 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Setenil de las Bodegas2,675 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Martín del Tesorillo2,797 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Gastor1,699 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Castellar de la Frontera3,043 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Algar1,433 inhabitants · 9 councillors