El Bosque: PP would keep its majority
El Bosque (Cádiz, 2,209 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 67%PP majority
- 1,151valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.7% of the vote (2023: 47.7%)
Majority 67%
PSOE-A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 29.7% of the vote (2023: 32.8%)
Majority 1%
UA+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.7% → 47.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 32.8% → 29.7% 4 → 3 councillors
- UALocal lists 14.9% → 15.7% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,151 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Bosque in size, in Cádiz
- Grazalema2,005 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Setenil de las Bodegas2,675 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Martín del Tesorillo2,797 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Gastor1,699 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Castellar de la Frontera3,043 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Algar1,433 inhabitants · 9 councillors