Castellar de la Frontera: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Castellar de la Frontera (Cádiz, 3,043 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE-A majority
- 1,786valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Castellar de la Frontera
Castellar de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 3,043 inhabitants, the 35th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 61.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; IU ANDALUCÍA was second with 3. 74.8% of the 2,387 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 61.9% → 60.9% 8 → 8 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 24.9% → 21.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 6.8% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- CXCLocal lists 4.8% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- VOXVox 0.9% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,786 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.