Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Benaocaz: no list would have a majority, CS largest

Benaocaz (Cádiz, 695 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 35.3%) Majority 6%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.9% of the vote (2023: 30.8%) Majority under 1%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Benaocaz

Benaocaz is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 695 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CS came first with 35.3% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE-A was second with 2. 78.4% of the 621 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CS would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CSCiudadanos 35.3% → 37.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.8% → 30.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 33.3% → 30.6% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 487 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Benaocaz in size, in Cádiz

Every municipality in Cádiz → · All of Spain →