Guadalupe: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Guadalupe (Cáceres, 1,787 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 65%no list with a majority
- 1,196valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Guadalupe
Guadalupe is a municipality in the province of Cáceres with 1,787 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 223 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 47.2% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 77.2% of the 1,549 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 47.2% → 45.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 29.3% → 29.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PGLocal lists 22.7% → 24.5% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,196 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.