Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ceclavín: CACERES VIVA would win a majority

Ceclavín (Cáceres, 1,779 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CACERES VIVA+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 42.3% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 30%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 28.0%) Majority 0%
LEVANTA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CACERES VIVALocal lists 39.9% → 42.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 28.0% → 25.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. LEVANTALocal lists 22.3% → 23.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 9.0% → 8.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,194 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ceclavín in size, in Cáceres

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