Ceclavín: CACERES VIVA would win a majority
Ceclavín (Cáceres, 1,779 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 70%no list with a majority
- 1,194valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ceclavín
Ceclavín is a municipality in the province of Cáceres with 1,779 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 223 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CACERES VIVA came first with 39.9% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 75.6% of the 1,580 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CACERES VIVA on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 30% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CACERES VIVALocal lists 39.9% → 42.3% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 28.0% → 25.1% 3 → 2 councillors
- LEVANTALocal lists 22.3% → 23.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 9.0% → 8.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,194 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.