Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villagonzalo Pedernales: PSOE would keep its majority

Villagonzalo Pedernales (Burgos, 1,856 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 47.9% of the vote (2023: 53.1%) Majority 57%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.7% of the vote (2023: 33.1%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.1% → 47.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.1% → 31.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.3% → 17.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 893 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villagonzalo Pedernales in size, in Burgos

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