Valle de Tobalina: no list would have a majority, VENT largest
Valle de Tobalina (Burgos, 896 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 538valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valle de Tobalina
Valle de Tobalina is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 896 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 VENT came first with 35.3% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE was second with 2. 72.2% of the 745 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VENT would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VENTLocal lists 35.3% → 37.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 31.2% → 31.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.6% → 28.9% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 538 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.