Valle de Tobalina: no list would have a majority, VENT largest
Valle de Tobalina (Burgos, 896 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 538valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VENT±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 37.8% of the vote (2023: 35.3%)
Majority 3%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 31.4% of the vote (2023: 31.2%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 31.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VENTLocal lists 35.3% → 37.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 31.2% → 31.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.6% → 28.9% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 538 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.