Modúbar de la Emparedada: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Modúbar de la Emparedada (Burgos, 789 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 446valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Modúbar de la Emparedada
Modúbar de la Emparedada is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 789 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 37.9% of the vote and 3 seats; VB was second with 2. 79.1% of the 564 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 33.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VBLocal lists 29.8% → 30.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 23.3% → 21.9% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 7.6% → 13.1% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 446 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.