Modúbar de la Emparedada: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Modúbar de la Emparedada (Burgos, 789 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 446valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 33.3% of the vote (2023: 37.9%)
Majority 3%
VB±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 29.8%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 23.3%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 33.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VBLocal lists 29.8% → 30.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 23.3% → 21.9% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 7.6% → 13.1% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 446 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.