Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Miranda de Ebro: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Miranda de Ebro (Burgos, 35,239 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 37.0%) Majority 2%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority 1%
IU-PODEMOS−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 16.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Miranda de Ebro

Miranda de Ebro is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 35,239 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 37% of the vote and 9 seats; PP was second with 7. 51% of the 26,869 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 37.0% → 34.0% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.2% → 31.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 16.4% → 13.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.9% → 12.7% 1 → 3 councillors
  5. MGLocal lists 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 3.0% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,698 valid votes including 168 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Miranda de Ebro in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →