Cardeñajimeno: VB would keep its majority
Cardeñajimeno (Burgos, 1,205 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 57%VB majority
- 605valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cardeñajimeno
Cardeñajimeno is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 1,205 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 VB came first with 46.9% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 65.8% of the 919 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps VB on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 57% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VBLocal lists 46.9% → 45.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 16.2% → 23.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 19.7% → 17.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.4% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 605 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Cardeñajimeno in size, in Burgos
- Pradoluengo1,096 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Merindad de Río Ubierna1,392 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Ibeas de Juarros1,418 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Cardeñadijo1,425 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Condado de Treviño1,428 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Villalbilla de Burgos1,462 inhabitants · 9 councillors