Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cardeñajimeno: VB would keep its majority

Cardeñajimeno (Burgos, 1,205 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VB±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.7% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 57%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 13.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VBLocal lists 46.9% → 45.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 16.2% → 23.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.7% → 17.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 13.4% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 605 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cardeñajimeno in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →