Merindad de Río Ubierna: PP would keep its majority
Merindad de Río Ubierna (Burgos, 1,392 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 92%PP majority
- 927valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 55.1% of the vote (2023: 56.5%)
Majority 92%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 34.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 7.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.5% → 55.1% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.2% → 30.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.1% → 12.6% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 927 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Merindad de Río Ubierna in size, in Burgos
- Ibeas de Juarros1,418 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Cardeñadijo1,425 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Condado de Treviño1,428 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Villalbilla de Burgos1,462 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Villadiego1,478 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Melgar de Fernamental1,535 inhabitants · 9 councillors